Village level Credit
A lesson in time as highlighted above is that merely raising budgetary allocations to the agricultural sector is not going to reduce poverty levels. The village level development must be covered with a Rural Development Act. This can lead to a drive of extending rural credit to rural non agricultural occupations. The Nobel award winning work of Bangladeshi Professor Muhammad Yunus i.e. Grameen Bank (Bank for the Poor), is a model that we need to examine. Maybe the private sector can do the same on a micro basis. A case in point was Unilever in India that developed a programme on these lines called the Sahkthi Amma that helped a rural area become an integral part of the growth model of the company. The recent research done by Singer Sri Lanka has revealed that the commitment to pay loans is a holy grail in rural areas that is not prevalent in the urban areas, a pattern experienced and shared by the Bangladeshi Grameen Bank champion.
Growth Targets
There is many a discussion on the Millennium Developmental Goals (MDGs). But a key area of focus should be that if the Gini coefficient for consumption inequality remains unchanged at the level of 2002 and growth continues at the same rate it did in 2004 and 2005, poverty will fall by more than 50% to 8.2% by 2015. If however, consumption inequality increases – as it did in the last 10 years –poverty will fall only to 14.8% from the 26% in 1990/91.
Given this backdrop it may be that the Village as a developmental strategy can be the way forward to influence the Gini coefficient in Sri Lanka specially in the North and the East. The current strategy of Gama Neguma is aligned to making the village the unit of development. However, this strategy can be successful if the private sector and the international donor groups partner the process so that we can drive down poverty to a single digit and increase the domestic savings to 35 percent. This in turn can power a 8% GDP growth in Sri Lanka. If we do not move in this direction Sri Lanka will lose in the race for growth in the South Asian region.
Economic Affairs Unit, SCOPP
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